Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 6.830458 7.906542 9.058880 10.380381 11.849561 13.428390 15.248837
2025-03-30 5.275845 6.732899 8.410209 10.466207 12.899901 15.670060 19.041816
2025-04-06 3.940906 5.534875 7.501879 10.066657 13.278389 17.121900 22.019692
2025-04-13 2.941885 4.545189 6.662392 9.588550 13.446311 18.273304 24.674488
2025-04-20 2.493438 4.184838 6.550913 9.982120 14.696809 20.806239 29.160787
2025-04-27 2.256289 4.071603 6.740174 10.769376 16.497017 24.131489 34.829101
2025-05-04 2.009406 3.893344 6.798564 11.355202 18.039407 27.180844 40.273811
2025-05-11 1.689286 3.535493 6.531553 11.420747 18.827060 29.221708 44.437718
2025-05-18 1.361761 3.098540 6.074252 11.134489 19.055180 30.464353 47.530276
2025-05-25 1.105147 2.734686 5.679828 10.890255 19.301762 31.713724 50.651376
2025-06-01 0.925004 2.478541 5.429401 10.841342 19.822652 33.360320 54.375907
2025-06-08 0.768946 2.236394 5.167267 10.737362 20.232615 34.840329 57.893162
2025-06-15 0.706365 2.192083 5.277607 11.303086 21.784106 38.155294 64.306654
2025-06-22 0.606065 2.037147 5.152912 11.436948 22.629400 40.422842 69.246176
2025-06-29 0.474639 1.768342 4.757795 11.031820 22.531929 41.205220 71.960546
2025-07-06 0.361672 1.509992 4.339294 10.530731 22.220735 41.615635 74.099246
2025-07-13 0.328094 1.470371 4.396746 10.962121 23.575663 44.766310 80.602032
2025-07-20 0.322142 1.515486 4.654255 11.813986 25.728328 49.297013 89.406485
2025-07-27 0.303452 1.514215 4.800864 12.446788 27.507995 53.265313 97.422571
2025-08-03 0.258979 1.410682 4.684426 12.518884 28.251104 55.523576 102.763902
2025-08-10 0.205592 1.252530 4.404269 12.211975 28.258086 56.529144 106.103003
2025-08-17 0.163430 1.117180 4.157922 11.949745 28.325206 57.626508 109.607509
2025-08-24 0.135068 1.025621 4.013194 11.897408 28.788212 59.412377 114.276753